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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • The US are using their influence to prevent it. France and the UK had already given permission for SCALP-EG/Stormshadow to be used. According to articles quoting a state department source, the US told Ukraine they could compromise aid if they used another nations weapons, regardless of permission. That article pointed out that the US policy doesn’t allow for a defeat of Russia that would make a “reset of relations” difficult. This slow political pressure is needed to more publicly isolate the American position and force concessions.

    Unfortunately I can’t find the article again, I believe it was in Forbes. It was mentioned in a Military & History update on Ukraine.




  • Targets like this are unlikely to ever be serviced by drones like Baba Yaga. This looks like multiple 1000lbs glide bomb hits, the Baba Yaga can carry 33lbs. By the time you have built the capacity to deliver powerful explosive force like this remotely you’ve already crossed from cheap drones to ballistic and cruise missiles. Most of the long range drones in use by Ukraine are carrying 40kg warheads. Cheap solutions just don’t have the hitting power, and by the time they are scaled up, they’re just the old expensive solutions.